Lecture 13 Time Series Analysis

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  • Опубликовано: 14 апр 2025

Комментарии • 100

  • @garbour456
    @garbour456 7 лет назад +148

    This is the best and most comprehensive intro to time series that I've found on youtube. Thanks so much for making this

  • @aborucu
    @aborucu 3 года назад +4

    So much for professors who like inflicting pain on student subjects by presenting these concepts in a convoluted way. Like if it's an esoteric black magic.. Step bey step crystal clear ! Thank yo and Bravo!

  • @liveinthemoment419
    @liveinthemoment419 7 лет назад +9

    Best time series lecture I've come across so far. The real life examples makes understanding the concept way easier.

  • @Maiskolbenkind
    @Maiskolbenkind 7 лет назад +7

    Why doesn't this video have more clicks?! Simply awesome. If my empirical research lecturer only were half as talented at explaining things as you are, I wouldn't need to be here right now. Thanks so much!

  • @sandundassanayake
    @sandundassanayake 6 лет назад +2

    I am a graduate student in Civil Engineering. But I am fairly new to the subject area of time-series forecasting. This has been the best intro I found on RUclips. Not so tough on the mathematics but seamless in every aspect of the topic. Simple and clearly understandable. If I could give more than a thumbs up I would definitely give; recommended. Thanks!

    • @samis1219
      @samis1219 2 года назад +1

      Time series analysis is of utmost importance in Finance and Economics

  • @lantianyu1050
    @lantianyu1050 3 года назад +4

    This is the best time series introduction courses I've had! Thank you very much!

  • @30stmism
    @30stmism 4 года назад +3

    After desperation from looking at the bunch of formulas in my study book, I'm so glad to have watched this video. Literally gave me AHA moments for 40 minutes :) thx

  • @andreagondova9211
    @andreagondova9211 2 года назад +2

    Very useful video, well explained and illustrated. Thank you very much for making it available to the wide audience :)

  • @PierLim
    @PierLim 6 лет назад +8

    The most informative video on time series by far on youtube, thanks a lot!

  • @scottwall2626
    @scottwall2626 7 лет назад +12

    Well done!! This was an incredibly well written and well structured explanation of a complex topic. Thanks for posting it!!

  • @naftalibendavid
    @naftalibendavid 4 года назад +3

    Would it work on counts? Stellar job. Just the right level of detail, perfect pace, and organized layout. You really take the listener by the hand.

  • @Guidussify
    @Guidussify 11 месяцев назад +1

    Fabulous lecture. Everything is so clear! Thank you for making it available.

  • @Chasam93
    @Chasam93 6 лет назад +1

    Excellent video! I'm glad I found your channel, now I have to watch your videos, they all look very interesting !

  • @elnazmkh5885
    @elnazmkh5885 4 года назад

    the best explanation of time series analysis ever! after looking for a good one for one month. thank you Jordan

  • @samyeung122
    @samyeung122 6 лет назад +1

    BEST video on time series! Period!

  • @chriscockrell9495
    @chriscockrell9495 5 лет назад +1

    DIfferencing, I'll have to try that.
    Demand in electric utilities is MW or kW, it is a measure of power, not energy. When asked about demand, you are giving a instantaneous power consumption. A user will also provide a capacity or load factor which gives you kWh.

  • @neoaksa
    @neoaksa 2 года назад

    Thanks for sharing this information. Comprehensive concepts intro and easy to understand. Great for my job project at this moment.

  • @brendensong8000
    @brendensong8000 4 года назад

    Thank you for the most comprehensive lecture I've ever seen!

  • @LilacsAndLavender
    @LilacsAndLavender Год назад

    This is super helpful! Thank you so much! This is perfect for getting an overview for me, starting at the bare basics!

  • @davidthehudson
    @davidthehudson 4 года назад

    Just 12 min in and I agree with everyone else. This is the best lecture I have ever seen on time series. Thank you so, so much.

  • @libertarianPinoy
    @libertarianPinoy 6 лет назад +26

    Dammit man, post the rest of your lectures!

    • @MilitanT07
      @MilitanT07 6 лет назад

      Upon watching them all, I think he numbered them not using the actual lecture number but session no.
      The missing classes were probably those he used to show an example or have them code something.

  • @shiva_tharun
    @shiva_tharun 7 лет назад +2

    Thanks!! I've been through 7 minutes and I love it!! Thanks for this video..!! Will certainly share with my friends!

  • @amrendrasingh7140
    @amrendrasingh7140 4 года назад

    At 34:37 you said when the correlation for two time series is 0 it becomes statistically independent, I beg to differ because the correlation only gives you an idea about linear dependence, but not about the non-linear one.You cannot conclude that the two RV's are independent.

  • @PastaSenpai
    @PastaSenpai Год назад

    Amazing job with introducing time-series relative to regression!

  • @valetrujilloNV
    @valetrujilloNV 4 года назад +1

    Thank you, this is extremely useful and very accessible. A great introduction to the topic!

    • @valetrujilloNV
      @valetrujilloNV 4 года назад

      Also this link at the end! www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pmc/section4/pmc4.htm

  • @nonamenoname1942
    @nonamenoname1942 3 года назад

    Thank you, and by the way 11:49 there's a clear trend on a first graph indicates about Batman existence!

  • @ddv2799
    @ddv2799 6 лет назад +5

    Thanks dude, finally understand some concepts!

  • @NicDoKamm
    @NicDoKamm 2 года назад

    Helped me understanding a lot more than in my lecture! Thank you very much for creating this great content

  • @danieldaniel-ri2mu
    @danieldaniel-ri2mu 4 года назад +1

    Ur my life saver in understanding this topic

  • @Shawn-cr8ep
    @Shawn-cr8ep 4 года назад

    Finally, autocorrelation explained simply! Thanks!

  • @zr246
    @zr246 5 лет назад +1

    the best overview of time series concepts. taking it from a guy doing a statistics degree.

  • @richardfinney2548
    @richardfinney2548 2 года назад +1

    Incredible lecture. Thank you so much.

  • @AMFLearning
    @AMFLearning 2 года назад +1

    #amflearningbydoing #amflearning this awesome bro, thanks a lot

  • @donharrold1375
    @donharrold1375 4 месяца назад

    Excellent lecture Jordan

  • @najmeh5707
    @najmeh5707 5 лет назад +1

    The best ever! Great job, well done. Thanks a lot. :)

  • @koteletje
    @koteletje 8 месяцев назад

    This is very good intuitive intro!

  • @larryparker7081
    @larryparker7081 6 лет назад

    best lecture I have seen this year. grattitude for your dedication

  • @ycc7744
    @ycc7744 4 года назад +1

    thank you so much, i needed this for my econometrics class big time.

  • @polapaul
    @polapaul 2 года назад +1

    @Jordan Kern Do you recommend any reading material to accompany your wonderful lectures?

  • @jaybhatt6775
    @jaybhatt6775 3 года назад

    Best lecture in time series so far

  • @1amitnagar
    @1amitnagar 6 лет назад

    Very good explanation of TS, Jordan. Nice job.

  • @SaintRudi85
    @SaintRudi85 6 лет назад +2

    Thank you for posting this lecture. Your descriptions are nice and clear. I particularly liked the approach to auto-correlation.
    I did feel that the part covering seasonality needed more depth though. Is simply taking the mean for each month (which I assume you do in a step-wise manner rather than some moving average) a robust approach to considering seasonality?

  • @everything_is_on_fire3155
    @everything_is_on_fire3155 5 лет назад

    Really informative video
    Straightforward and easy to understand

  • @kristimulla7810
    @kristimulla7810 3 года назад

    Excellent lecture! Chapeau!

  • @LindaLin-pw1ho
    @LindaLin-pw1ho 3 месяца назад +1

    Normal distribution or g l m😊

  • @krivoship90
    @krivoship90 6 лет назад +1

    If you have 3 points up in a row it doesn't mean that it has a memory. Saying that time series have a memory - it something which should be proved.

  • @baruchschwartz819
    @baruchschwartz819 4 года назад

    Very talented lecturer

  • @smsm314
    @smsm314 6 лет назад

    Good evening my Professor,
    Please sir, if we have the Yt series. To study the stationarity of
    this series, we can do the following decomposition (or filtering):
    Yt=F(t)+Ut, such that F(t) is a continuous function according to the
    trend (linen, nonlinear). And if we find the series Ut it is stationary,
    it implies that Yt is stationary, and the opposite is right?
    B.w

  • @IAKhan-km4ph
    @IAKhan-km4ph 3 года назад

    great work

  • @cesarfierro5509
    @cesarfierro5509 3 года назад

    Today I presented my master's thesis proposal on univariate forecasting (time series forecasting). I intend to combine different models such as Holt Winters, ARIMA, LSTM neural networks, random Forest, etc...The Synods told me that time series forecast are simple and less accurate than multivariate forecast... any advice to answer them?
    ?

  • @temesgenatnafu2150
    @temesgenatnafu2150 Год назад

    Thank you for your service 💞

  • @deeptysarder6797
    @deeptysarder6797 4 года назад

    If I am going to conduct a var model of variable 4 , and find that 2 variable is stationary and 2 variable is non stationary. Numeric Unit of those variable percent i.e. Interest rate, repo rate and deposit rate etc. What to do?

  • @alexaross7438
    @alexaross7438 2 года назад

    Hi Jordan - how do you produce the last plot you showed with relative variance vs. frequency?

  • @محمدالشمري-ض4ه1ط
    @محمدالشمري-ض4ه1ط 2 года назад

    Hi Mr jordan Sorry, is there a pdf file for this topic that I need?

  • @MuhammadShoaib-ui5jz
    @MuhammadShoaib-ui5jz 10 месяцев назад

    well explained.

  • @thierryodou4479
    @thierryodou4479 4 года назад

    It was amazing course

  • @buckmanakuffo2964
    @buckmanakuffo2964 3 года назад

    Fantastic!!!

  • @alanhill5337
    @alanhill5337 4 года назад

    Excellent. Thank you

  • @levonpapikyan2801
    @levonpapikyan2801 3 года назад

    great video!!! Can u share slides, it will be nice!!!!!

  • @许海云-o8v
    @许海云-o8v 6 лет назад

    Great work!

  • @user-oj4hr5rh6i
    @user-oj4hr5rh6i 3 года назад

    Great!

  • @buffboy710
    @buffboy710 4 года назад +1

    This is statistical poetry.

  • @vanditamishra24x7
    @vanditamishra24x7 5 лет назад

    Your teaching material is awesome. Could you please share the file?

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 7 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!

  • @kalyanasundaramsp8267
    @kalyanasundaramsp8267 7 лет назад

    phenomenal sir

  • @yashshinde8970
    @yashshinde8970 5 лет назад +3

    At 1.5x, the guy becomes John Krasinski

  • @Skandawin78
    @Skandawin78 6 лет назад

    Is Smoothing done on the 'White noise' which was obtained after removing the signal data?

  • @gulzameenbaloch9339
    @gulzameenbaloch9339 11 месяцев назад

    Thanks 😊

  • @KIMNEG
    @KIMNEG 4 года назад

    So, it can be this simpler? Cheers!

  • @carlosvida6709
    @carlosvida6709 3 года назад

    Thanks, this lecture was very useful for studying econometric. I'm spanish, by the way.

  • @noon8681
    @noon8681 4 года назад

    You’re amazing

  • @sundasmemon1385
    @sundasmemon1385 6 лет назад

    HELLO, anyone who can tell me that is their any restriction of sample size in time series data?
    like i have taken data from 2004 to 2017 so the total number of observations are 14. So in this situation time series method is applicable or not?

    • @fransmulder9326
      @fransmulder9326 5 лет назад

      Sundas Memon
      Well yes the method is applicable but it will not give a lot of insight. With only 14 samples there is not a lot of information in the data.
      Furthermore, you must go back to the underlying proces that generated the data
      The guy does not grasp the fundamentals of digital signal processing

  • @ahmedgharieb5252
    @ahmedgharieb5252 5 лет назад

    Where is lecture 1 I would like to start

  • @Skandawin78
    @Skandawin78 6 лет назад

    with the background noise, it sounds like a recording made in 1950s :) . Nevertheless very informative and interesting presentation, thanks.

  • @SL-cl9gt
    @SL-cl9gt 5 месяцев назад

    13:09
    Noise: 🚓 🚨

  • @MilitanT07
    @MilitanT07 6 лет назад

    Why are there so many lectures missing? I enjoyed listening to these at 1.5X speed.

    • @wowZhenek
      @wowZhenek 6 лет назад

      lol, same, was listening at 1.5x speed.

  • @KiraboGrace-zj3ke
    @KiraboGrace-zj3ke Год назад

    👍

  • @LindaLin-pw1ho
    @LindaLin-pw1ho 3 месяца назад

    Histrogram😊

  • @АлександрРусаков-в4с
    @АлександрРусаков-в4с 6 месяцев назад

    Garcia Dorothy Rodriguez Brian Brown Larry

  • @moebiusdroste8293
    @moebiusdroste8293 3 года назад

    Thanks!!!!

  • @DuraiMurugan-i3r
    @DuraiMurugan-i3r Год назад

    Mani pavi call Panna vaa attention Panna matiya true caler natrajen varum

  • @mettataurr
    @mettataurr 4 года назад

    12:55 this man risking his life for our stats education

  • @Augustxjay
    @Augustxjay 2 года назад

    I still don’t understand

  • @TheBjjninja
    @TheBjjninja 5 лет назад

    Pretty good but I wish he did not explain time series and regression to be exclusive topics. Regression is merely a scientific objective.

  • @buckmanakuffo2964
    @buckmanakuffo2964 3 года назад

    Can I have your email Sir?

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 7 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 7 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!